Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 66.758388 75.503441 84.447352 94.245701 104.646327 115.327200 127.095311
2025-11-30 54.210624 66.860615 80.379663 95.766932 112.668109 130.552364 150.796464
2025-12-07 46.868267 61.726545 78.126019 97.292991 118.826899 142.049918 168.774426
2025-12-14 39.773805 55.924708 74.317132 96.347692 121.603121 149.290501 181.598576
2025-12-21 33.521225 50.382443 70.188303 94.471100 122.828021 154.374105 191.633726
2025-12-28 31.110636 49.183689 70.905637 97.983734 130.012832 165.999502 208.848411
2026-01-04 28.273592 47.149061 70.379701 99.824210 135.091819 175.096911 223.096221
2026-01-11 24.724147 43.861877 68.056093 99.285369 137.195192 180.629989 233.158469
2026-01-18 21.638760 40.904348 65.922812 98.788537 139.191447 185.913245 242.826453
2026-01-25 19.331726 38.804139 64.724837 99.313568 142.304908 192.416337 253.833279
2026-02-01 16.813144 36.162563 62.644180 98.586795 143.785079 196.907667 262.427796
2026-02-08 14.862565 34.171097 61.294187 98.679371 146.181293 202.417994 272.159388
2026-02-15 12.703172 31.666139 59.133369 97.662044 147.184170 206.280598 280.004369
2026-02-22 11.481267 30.538841 58.810684 98.995022 151.086576 213.610426 291.944564
2026-03-01 10.456807 29.630010 58.726474 100.590230 155.279956 221.265027 304.251861
2026-03-08 8.852635 27.526175 56.794919 99.619669 156.152457 224.837301 311.657484
2026-03-15 7.210383 25.112876 54.255776 97.709090 155.734171 226.765238 317.039478
2026-03-22 6.973775 25.362363 55.718209 101.287440 162.384945 237.374085 332.858086
2026-03-29 6.389137 24.846798 55.969563 103.162112 166.813866 245.238637 345.370629
2026-04-05 5.376285 23.296891 54.529355 102.613294 168.044198 249.118555 353.048667
2026-04-12 4.486751 21.851407 53.164956 102.107251 169.283897 252.976874 360.675639
2026-04-19 3.868325 20.913064 52.559270 102.642016 171.867616 258.492334 370.305156
2026-04-26 3.128957 19.512981 51.109378 101.901762 172.717960 261.808842 377.232339